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Whether Qusair Will Tip The Balance Remains to Be Seen

The defeat of Syrian opposition forces in Qusair may be a turning point toward a deepening of the conflict or a catalyst for a peace conference.
Lebanese and Syrian supporters of Syria's President Bashar al-Assad, celebrate in Qusair June 9, 2013, after the Syrian army and Lebanese Hezbollah fighters took control of the town from rebel fighters in this handout photograph released by Syria's national news agency SANA. REUTERS/SANA/Handout via Reuters (SYRIA - Tags: POLITICS CIVIL UNREST) ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY. FOR EDITORIAL USE ONLY. NOT FOR SALE FOR MARKETING OR ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS. THIS PICTURE IS DISTRIBUTE
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The political consequences of the fall of the city of Qusair into the hands of pro-Assad Syrian forces backed by the Hezbollah guerrillas in Lebanon may be as important as the military results — if not more so. These political consequences may have more impact in the coming period, particularly in the geographical area concerned with the political struggle raging both in and against Syria.

One could even say that the military and political results are the same. On the one hand, this battle has facilitated President Bashar al-Assad’s takeover of Homs and Aleppo, down to the border with Turkey. On the other, it has allowed Moscow to play a more decisive and important role in the negotiations about a possible settlement for the Syrian crisis.

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