Syrian events continue to develop in Geneva, Ghouta
Though the battles taking place in both places take different forms, the events going on in Ghouta and Geneva will bear significantly on the near future of the conflict.
It's now clearer than ever just how harsh and tense the race in Syria is between the battle and politics, between the field and the table, or more specifically between “Ghouta II” and Geneva II. The race has a preliminary date set: Jan. 22, 2014.
Speaking to Al-Monitor, a Syrian official said that this race between settlement efforts and attempts to change the military balance of power on the ground is fatal and tragic. A Syrian senior security official told the same source that more than 1,000 opposition gunmen were killed in East Ghouta in the past few days. According to the Syrian official, East Ghouta is witnessing the last attempts on the part of opposition militants to achieve real and qualitative progress on the ground, which would allow them to impose a minimal level of conditions during the next round of negotiations. Why is the battle raging in this particular place? Because it's the last outlet that armed opponents have while heading toward the gates of the capital, knowing the significance of accessing any gate in Damascus at both the military and political levels, especially following a series of successive defeats on other fronts, from Aleppo to Homs to Qalamun, which is adjacent to the border with Lebanon. From East Ghouta, any armed military progress can lead to controlling the Damascus International Airport and coming extremely close to the administrative border of the capital.
Since the battle has taken on this central and quasi-fateful character, the same Syrian official claimed that Saudi elements involved in the war alongside the armed opponents in East Ghouta itself. He added that the Syrian army has provided relief in the battle as a result of security coordination with Jordanian official quarters, which provide the army with very important data that militants have moved into Syria, and more specifically to Ghouta.
On the diplomatic front, the official said that the Syrian authorities are ready for Geneva II on Jan. 22 and that preparations have been completed both in form and content.
