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Iraq on brink of abyss: What happens next?

The steadily increasing crisis in Iraq is getting deeper over time, opening the space for a total political collapse.

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Iraqi university students carry Iraqi flags during ongoing anti-government protests in Baghdad, Dec. 29, 2019. — REUTERS/Khalid al-Mousily

Iraq's political crisis is getting increasingly deeper while the security situation is steadily declining, pushing the country toward further uncertainty and possible political collapse.

What are the conflicting forces and sources of the crisis, and what are the possible scenarios for Iraq's immediate future?

Conflicting forces

Four main forces are actively operating against each other in Iraq, shaping the political situation and deepening the ongoing crisis:

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