Ankara forces companies to sell hard currency as circle tightens
The Turkish government’s latest loan restriction may help the embattled lira recover to some extent, but not without the risk of damaging side effects.
Desperate against galloping inflation but bent on keeping interest rates low, Turkey’s government has turned to interventionist measures akin to capital controls to bolster the embattled lira. The latest is designed to force companies to reduce hard-currency holdings.
In a surprise announcement late on June 24 after local markets had closed, the Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency banned banks from issuing lira loans to companies holding foreign exchange worth more than 15 million liras ($895,000) if that amount exceeds 10% of their total assets or annual sale revenues.
In an economy where few enterprises operate without using lira loans as operational capital or for export-oriented production, the move is effectively forcing companies to sell hard-currency holdings and lira-ize, which amounts to restricting capital movements and contravenes the free foreign-exchange regime.
The measure is the latest in a series of controversial efforts by the Turkish authorities to prop up the lira and thus rein in inflation without raising interest rates — an unorthodox approach imposed by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who argues that high borrowing rates fuel inflation in defiance of conventional economic theory. Turkey’s annual consumer inflation shot up to 73.5% in May from 19.6% in September, when the Central Bank announced the first of four consecutive rate cuts under pressure from Erdogan. The rate cuts pushed real yields deep into negative territory, sending the lira into a tailspin.
