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Erdogan’s credibility plunges along with lira

Turkey’s president has received the lowest grade from consumers in his political career as his controversial economic policy is expected to further fuel inflation in the coming months.

ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan attends a signing ceremony with Abu Dhabi's Crown Prince Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahya (not pictured) regarding the agreements between the two countries at the Presidential Complex in Ankara, on Nov. 24, 2021. — ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is facing a sharp decline in confidence in his economic management amid the chaotic economic climate he has created by pushing for lower interest rates despite high inflation and a free falling currency.

The growing mistrust is reflected in the consumer confidence index as well as the ongoing rush for hard currency, with Turks scrambling to protect the value of their money against inflation and the dramatic decline of the Turkish lira. 

The consumer confidence index has plunged to its worst level since its introduction in 2004, not long after Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party came to power in November 2002. The index, produced by the Turkish Statistical Institute in collaboration with the central bank, dropped to 71.1 in November, a staggering 7.3% decrease from the previous month, according to data released Nov. 22. It is the lowest grade that Erdogan has received from consumers in his political career and a far cry from his heyday in the first half of 2004, when the readings hovered above 100.

The index, based on monthly surveys of more than 4,800 households, is measured within the range of zero to 200. A confidence level below 100 indicates a pessimistic outlook, while a reading above 100 denotes optimism. The more the index drops below the 100 mark, the more pessimism it indicates.

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