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Erdogan plays with fire to spur economic growth

The Turkish president’s insistence on spurring growth despite mounting inflation and the risk of further dollarization is a further invitation to continued economic turmoil. 

exchange agency in Istanbul
Pedestrians and customers pass in front of a currency exchange agency as a screen shows rates near The Grand Bazaar in Istanbul, on March 22, 2021. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's unorthodox efforts to curb high inflation saw the Turkish lira weaken to around 8.64 to the dollar on Aug. 6, 2021, and to around 8.65 to the dollar on Aug. 11, 2021. — OZAN KOSE/AFP via Getty Images

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s assertions that interest rates would be decreased and stop Turkey’s nearly 19% inflation from rising further have sparked fresh jitters in financial markets as the Turkish leader appears bent on spurring economic growth at the expense of costly side effects.

Erdogan’s remarks last week came as a signal that he intends to pressure the central bank to lower rates, sticking to his unconventional view that high interest rates cause high inflation. Following his remarks, the Turkish lira, which was already under pressure from global trends, weakened as low as 8.64 to the dollar Aug. 6 — it had been 8.56 — and has stayed in that region since (it was around 8.65 to the dollar Aug. 11). The downtick is expected to continue in the coming days, raising the specter of a fresh dollarization wave.

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