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Fresh currency fears loom over Turkey

Despite a series of unconventional measures to keep hard currency prices in check, Turkey appears headed for fresh currency turmoil.

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Turkish lira and US dollar banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken Aug. 19, 2018. — REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Turkey’s government has taken fresh steps to keep exchange rates under control as a resurging dollar threatens to further weaken the Turkish lira, although such interventions erode confidence in the economy, which is still ailing after a big currency shock in 2018.

Few would disagree that controversial measures to shield the lira have meant a de facto departure from Turkey’s floating exchange rate regime over the past year. Foreign exchange rates have been regulated — or, rather, suppressed — through veiled interventions by the central bank. To keep the lira below six against the dollar, the central bank has often funneled foreign exchange to the market via state banks, using money that it could have kept as reserves. Such moves amount to political manipulation of foreign exchange prices, given the tight control the government has attained over the central bank since last year.

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