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Ankara's east-Euphrates vision more dream than plan

As the US withdrawal raises the specter of a power vacuum in Syrian territory east of the Euphrates River, Ankara is too anxious about Damascus filling the void to come up with rational solutions.
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President Donald Trump’s Dec. 19 tweet announcing an immediate and unconditional withdrawal from Syria has rendered the United States a lame duck in the war-torn country. Although Trump and his aides clarified later the withdrawal would not happen “that quickly,” the fact remains that American troops will be leaving Syria in a foreseeable future, raising the question of who will fill the vacuum after US forces depart from Manbij and the area east to the Euphrates River, where they are currently deployed.

First, of course, one needs to be mindful that a real vacuum could emerge if beyond withdrawing its troops, Washington retracts its military commitments to its ally in the region, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). What is referred to as “east of the Euphrates” is a vast area where the United States has imposed deterrence through air power and 2,000 special forces troops. The essence of this deterrence, however, is not in the number of troops but the commitment of the United States as a superpower.

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