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The Egyptian Opposition Puts Referendum in Perspective

H. A. Hellyer examines past electoral results for the Egyptian opposition and how it can increase its base of support in future elections.
Officials count ballots after polls closed in Bani Sweif, about 115 km (71 miles) south of Cairo December 22, 2012. Early indications showed Egyptians approved an Islamist-drafted constitution after Saturday's final round of voting in a referendum despite opposition criticism of the measure as divisive. REUTERS/Stringer  (EGYPT  - Tags: POLITICS ELECTIONS) - RTR3BUP8

The Egyptian opposition appeared to be exhausted at the start of the new year. The energy its members had exhibited a year ago, despite disappointing parliamentary election results, seems to have dissipated.

The problem is not so much that they have been beaten. Indeed, in some areas, they have done well for a relatively nascent political force. Rather, it is that they have failed to learn from the last two years and build upon what has been accomplished so far. In the coming months, opposition forces need to examine the numbers from their past electoral performances and from there expand their geographic base of support by delivering their message in the context of Egyptian voters’ key priorities.

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