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Analysis

Hezbollah's Nasrallah signals restraint, keeps options open in Gaza war

Israel likely to agree to US request for humanitarian pause; Blinken gets ‘clear commitment’ from Israel on West Bank violence; Gaza war casualties include over 30 journalists; Turkey's ratification of Sweden's NATO bid still isn't done.
11/03/2023 Tehran, Iran. In a pro-government rally in the Islamic Republic of Iran, people gathered at Imam Hossein Square in Tehran on November 3, 2023, to watch Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah's speech regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict. Among the crowd, Lebanon's Hezbollah flags and Palestinian flags were proudly waved. During the speech in Beirut, Nasrallah addressed the Israeli army's attack on Gaza and issued a warning to Israel about a potential attack on Lebanon. (Photo by Hossein Beri

Nasrallah’s calculated ambiguity includes message for Lebanon  

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah’s first speech on the Israel-Hamas war was marked by “calculated ambiguity,” said Al-Monitor Senior News Editor Joyce Karam on Al-Monitor’s live webinar on the Israel-Hamas war

“He said he is ready to escalate, but is not escalating the conflict,” said Karam. 

Nasrallah has no reason to escalate now. The pressure is on Israel, and by extension the United States, as international calls for a cease-fire increase by the day, along with Palestinian civilian casualties. Nasrallah, and his backers in Iran, prefer to keep it that way. 

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