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Can diplomacy end the fighting in Sudan?

Even if the country is too big to fail, observers see challenges in restoring peace before the unrest spreads to neighboring countries.

Sudan refugees
People fleeing street battles between the forces of two rival Sudanese generals wait with their belongings along a road in the southern part of Khartoum, on April 21, 2023. — AFP via Getty Images

Sudan’s transition is worth saving 

A once-promising transition in Sudan is collapsing amidst a showdown between two military leaders who are instrumental to the process, but seemingly not committed to its outcome. 

On one side is Sudanese Armed Forces Commander Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, who seized power in 2021 and upended the carefully negotiated civilian transition; on the other is Lt. Gen. Mohamed ‘Hemedti’ Dagalo, head of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), which began as the Janjaweed militia associated with the Darfur genocide. Mahmoud Salem has an upcoming piece that breaks down the parties.

Hostilities broke out on April 15 after the collapse of an agreement to integrate the RSF, which reportedly numbers 100,000 fighters, into the Armed Forces. So far more than 330 people have been killed and more than 3,000 injured, according to the World Health Organization. Fighting continued today despite a cease-fire for the Eid al Fitr holiday.

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