Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is no visionary, and his Libyan policy may well carry the high risk of a miscalculation leading to a dangerous military confrontation with Egypt.

According to one of the four experts who spoke at “The Fight for Libya" webinar organized July 22 by a United Arab Emirates-based think tank, this has been the recurring theme. The webinar was held on the same day as the announcement of the Turkish-Russian joint statement on Libya, which some consider a slap at Ankara's Libya policy.

It was only two days after the Egyptian parliament authorized military intervention in Libya. There was speculation that Turkish-backed Government of National Accord (GNA) forces were about to launch an attack on Egypt and the UAE-backed Khalifa Hifter forces to seize control of Sirte province and al-Jufra air base.

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi declared the two strategic locations a month ago to be Egypt's "red line." Sirte, the hometown of late Libyan leader Muammar Gadhafi, stands out as a door opening to Libya’s oil-rich regions lying between Tripoli and Benghazi.