For Israel, this coming November will be a turnaround month. With all due respect to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s West Bank annexation plans, Israel’s security forces are eyeing a far more distant issue, still the main strategic threat facing the country: The ayatollah regime in Iran.

Israel is awaiting the US presidential elections, and so are the Iranians. The tense waiting period is unlikely to see any changes in the war the two sides are waging against each other — Iran with Hezbollah’s backing and Israel with US support. Western and Israeli intelligence assessments place Iran on the edge of a precipice, with its foreign currency reserves forecast to run out at the end of the year. Iran’s economy is undergoing a rapid, painful downturn.

“They are losing their public and they know it,” a senior Israeli security source told Al-Monitor on condition of anonymity. “They understand that they will be unable to last long, given the current state of affairs, and are placing their hopes on the replacement of the Trump administration by an administration with which they can make a deal.”

This Israeli intelligence assessment comes with a caveat: The Iranians could end up concluding that they have no choice other than negotiating with President Donald Trump should he be reelected. However, Israeli intelligence experts are having a hard time providing a confident assessment of how Trump might respond to such an Iranian switch. They are not alone in that difficulty. Trump, as depicted in the upcoming tell-all book by his former national security adviser John Bolton, is a highly unpredictable leader.