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Egypt's Evolving Landscape Narrows Options for US Policy

While the fall of Mubarak has opened up Egypt's political system for the Egyptian people, it has narrowed the options for US policy makers, writes Aaron David Miller, who will now have to navigate between anti-democratic generals and democratically elected Islamists.
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (L) speaks with Egypt's Foreign Minister Mohamed Kamel Amr (R) at the Foreign Ministry in Cairo July 14, 2012. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El-Ghany (EGYPT - Tags: POLITICS)

Egypt may be the land of the pyramids. But for the United States, these days it represents a landscape of boxes in which American policies and interests are trapped.

Former president Hosni Mubarak’s fall has opened up the political system for more Egyptians to reclaim control over their politics. Options for America, however, have narrowed — and the space available to advance US interests has shrunk considerably. Great powers don’t do well in these situations. Built up over time, their policies become entrenched and change ever so slowly (see Putin and Syria). And more than likely, American policy toward Egypt will evolve slowly or perhaps not very much at all. Given the anomalies and contradictions that characterize that policy, the change that does occur may not do much to boost US credibility in a region where it has little to start with.

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