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Leadership turnover fuels new uncertainty as Mideast economies navigate Gaza fallout

May 2024 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

2,298 words

A region beset by unending upheaval faced more in May 2024, with top Mideast powers bracing for major leadership changes after the sudden death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi. That came as Saudi Arabia’s 88-year-old King Salman simultaneously fell ill, underlining potential for an imminent royal succession.

CORRECTION / An Iranian man reads a prayer over the coffins of late president Ebrahim Raisi (portrait top L) and late governor of Iran's East Azerbaijan Province Malik Rahmati (portrait top R) during a funeral ceremony at the Imam Reza shrine, in the city of Mashhad, on May 23, 2024. Raisi and seven members of his entourage, including foreign minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, were killed in a helicopter crash on a fog-shrouded mountainside in Iran on May 19. (Photo by Sadegh NIKGOSTAR / FARS NEWS AGENCY /

Mideast passes stress test as Iran-Israel trade blows, but economic challenges remain

April 2024 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

2,404 words

Months of scorching hot Mideast tensions sparked by the Gaza war finally boiled over into open attacks between Israel and Iran in April, giving shape to a long-feared eruption of a regional war that — alongside adding to the human toll — could deliver another jolt of economic pain locally and globally.

This picture taken December 12, 2019 shows a man monitoring the board at the Stock Exchange Market (Tadawul) bourse in Riyadh. - Energy giant Saudi Aramco's market value soared above $2 trillion as its share price surged again on its second day of trading. The valuation milestone was sought by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman when he first floated the idea of selling up to five percent of Aramco, the world's largest oil firm, about four years ago. Aramco shares jumped another 9.7 percent to 38.60 riya

Middle East economic outlook dims amid turbulent start to 2024

January 2024 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

2,572 words

Heading into 2023, Middle East economies were riding high after the region posted a 5.6% growth rate over the prior year, making it a global bright spot in a generally gloomy environment clouded by recession fears. A year later, the Middle East again stands out as an outlier but for the opposite reason, as the escalating Israel-Hamas war teeters on the brink of producing widespread economic pain.

A man watches stock movements on a display at the Dubai Financial Market stock exchange in the Gulf emirate on April 12, 2022. Shares in the Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (DEWA) rose 16 percent on April 12 in the Gulf region's biggest initial public offering since Saudi oil giant Aramco in 2019. (Photo by Giuseppe CACACE / AFP) (Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images)

How 2023 shaped the Middle East’s post-oil future amid Gulf energy transitions laden with controversy 

December 2023 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

2,247 words

 

The curtain has closed at COP28 in Dubai after delivering a historic global agreement to “transition away” from fossil fuels, but the UAE continues pumping out dealmaking shaping the path to a post-oil future. On Dec. 18, Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio announced a $2.2 billion investment from Abu Dhabi-backed fund CYVN, the same day that Dubai-based decarbonization company Positive Zero revealed it could receive up to $400 million from BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager. 

DUBAI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - DECEMBER 13: Activists stage a protest on day thirteen of the UNFCCC COP28 Climate Conference on December 13, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. The conference has gone into an extra day as delegations continue to negotiate over the wording of the final agreement. The COP28, which was originally scheduled to run from November 30 through December 12, has brought together stakeholders, including international heads of state and other leaders, scientists, environmentalists, indi

How the Israel-Hamas war is impacting Middle East economies, from energy to arm sales

November 2023 Al-Monitor Trend Report 

2901 words

 

As billion-dollar deals took flight during the Dubai Airshow in November 2023, a noticeable absence hovered over proceedings: exhibition stands for Israeli weapons makers Israel Aerospace Industries and Rafael stood empty and unstaffed at the start of the weeklong expo, Reuters reported Nov. 13. 

An Israeli soldier walks next to an armed APC (Armed Personnel Carrier) in southern Israel near the border with the Gaza Strip on November 30, 2023, as a truce between Israel and Hamas enters its seventh day. A truce between Israel and Hamas was extended on November 30 just before it was due to expire, the two sides announced, with mediator Qatar reporting it would continue for one day under the same conditions that saw hostages released in exchange for prisoners. (Photo by GIL COHEN-MAGEN / AFP) (Photo by

Tourism tipping point: Middle East travel boom delivering economic boost as Israel-Hamas war threatens recovery

October 2023 Al-Monitor PRO Trend Report 

3,391 words

 

Introduction

Empty hotels, canceled flights and travel advisories. The outbreak of fighting between Israel and Hamas in October 2023 has undercut a fledgling tourism rebound in the Holy Land after years of struggle. The fallout could spread further, with the prospect of a wider war looming over an even bigger tourism boom unfolding across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA).  

TABA, EGYPT: Beach resorts close to the Egyptian Taba Hilton (background-R) remain empty 11 October 2004, four days after three attacks targeted this well-known hotel in the Sinai peninsula next to the Israeli border and another two minor resorts, killing at least 32 people and causing the exodus of thousands of Israeli tourists from the area called the Egyptian Riviera. Israel's resort of Eilat, close to the border with Egypt, is set for a boom as thousands of Israelis who regularly holiday in Sinai look e