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Analysis

Israel sees chance of US-Iran deal as almost 'non-existent,' readies for war

As US President Trump makes contradictory statements regarding his intentions toward Iran and the ongoing negotiations, Israel is preparing for the possibility of resuming military operations.

ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images
Commuters drive by a large billboard depicting Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei on a street in Tehran on April 20, 2026. — ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images

TEL AVIV — With the April 22 deadline for the two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran approaching and scant sign of a breakthrough, senior Israeli sources say the military is preparing for a possible resumption of fighting.

"In our assessment, the chances that the United States and Iran will bridge their differences and reach an agreement, or even a framework agreement, are very low to nonexistent," a senior Israeli diplomatic source told Al-Monitor on condition of anonymity.

Trump’s options

Though he has sent mixed messages, US President Donald Trump told Bloomberg on Tuesday that he is “highly unlikely” to extend the truce past Wednesday if no deal is reached and told CNBC on Tuesday, "I expect to be bombing." 

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