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Analysis

Will Israel’s potential Syria security deal intensify its rivalry with Turkey?

Israeli experts warn that a security deal with Syria won’t ease tensions with Turkey or end the ongoing battle for regional influence.

Israel military vehicles drive along the border fence into Israel, near the town of Majdal Shams, in the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights, July 17, 2025.
Israel military vehicles drive along the border fence into Israel, near the town of Majdal Shams, in the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights, July 17, 2025. — JALAA MAREY/AFP via Getty Images

TEL AVIV — The historic US-mediated discussions on an Israeli-Syrian security agreement appear to be making progress, but diplomats and security experts are warning that a deal could also exacerbate the tense competition between the region’s top two powers — Israel and Turkey — over influence in Syria.  

Recent talks between top Israeli and Syrian officials have generated a flurry of reports about a deal to de-escalate tensions. Some even suggest the possibility of a trilateral meeting on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in September, involving US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa.

Last week, Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad Hassan al-Shaibani met in Paris with an Israeli delegation led by Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer. The talks focused on de-escalation, noninterference in Syrian affairs and agreements aimed at supporting regional stability, according to the Syrian Arab News Agency.

Turkey in the background

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