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Analysis

Sweden's NATO ratification likely to wait until after Turkey's elections

As Finland becomes a NATO member, Sweden’s options are limited before the Turkish elections of May 14.
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan stands next to his Togg T10X, Turkey's first domestically-produced electric car, after receiving it from the company at the Presidential Complex in Ankara, on April 3, 2023. (Photo by Adem ALTAN / AFP) (Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images)

As the transatlantic alliance welcomes Finland, Sweden's best chance seems to be to wait for the outcome of Turkey’s May 14 elections in a bid to smoothen the road to its NATO membership, despite the goodwill it has garnered in the Turkish public opinion for its support after the devastating Feb. 6 earthquakes

Following the Turkish parliament's unanimous ratification, the Nordic country this week officially announced as a NATO member in Washington. The move decoupled Finland's and Sweden’s NATO bids officially, a possibility that Ankara has long pushed while Washington and NATO were unwilling. While NATO talks between Turkey, Finland and Sweden were ongoing, a senior bureaucrat in Turkish national security circles told Al-Monitor that his government could fast-track Helsinki into the alliance.

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