Knesset member Mansour Abbas woke up this morning with four Knesset seats in his pocket. Last night's vote tally had seemed to promise him five, but as the count continued his Raam party lost one. With 95.6% of the votes counted this number can still change, but it seems clear that Raam will be in the next Knesset.

Raam's achievement is dramatic on several levels. On March 23, for the fourth time in two years, Israelis were called to the voting booth. As things seem now, there is once again no decisive outcome and it is unclear whether Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu or his many rivals will be able to put together a government. Much hinges now on Raam and the choice Abbas will have to make.

Pre-election polls had predicted that Raam would not pass the 3.25% electoral threshold. He decided a few months ago to adopt a new approach, refusing to make do with simply getting elected to the Knesset like his former colleagues in the Joint List. He envisioned a new path forward for Israel’s Arab public. This decision to split from the Joint List and run alone was risky.

At first it looked like Abbas' new strategy had failed, with early exit polls predicting his party wouldn’t win any seats. That all changed as the hours ticked away. As of this writing, Abbas looks like a winner, while the three parties that make up the current Joint List (Hadash, Ta’al and Balad) are expected to win six seats in total.