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Analysis

Iran scrambles to shape endgame amid growing US military pressure

With Washington tightening deadlines and deploying assets, Tehran is mounting a rapid diplomatic campaign while preparing for what is increasingly seen as some level of unavoidable confrontation.

(EDITOR'S NOTE: This Handout image was provided by a third-party organization and may not adhere to Getty Images' editorial policy.) In this handout photo obtained from the U.S. Defence Department, Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) sails alongside Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Frank E. Petersen Jr. (DDG 121) and Lewis and Clark-class dry cargo ship USNS Carl Brashear (T-AKE 7) in the Arabian Sea, Feb. 6, 2026. According to the U.S. government, the Abraham Lincoln
Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln sails alongside Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Frank E. Petersen Jr. and Lewis and Clark-class dry cargo ship USNS Carl Brashear in the Arabian Sea, Feb. 6, 2026. — US Navy via Getty Images

TEHRAN — Iran is moving on multiple fronts at once: at the United Nations, across regional capitals and at the negotiating table. The flurry of activity reflects more than routine diplomacy. It signals that leadership is attempting to contain existential military escalation with the United States.

The immediate trigger was President Donald Trump's fresh warnings this week that Iran has "10-15 days, pretty much maximum" to reach what he called a "meaningful deal," adding that if they don't, "bad things happen." The remarks came amid a visibly increasing US military buildup in and around the Gulf, which includes additional deployments and heightened readiness. 

For Tehran, the combination of a public deadline and forward-positioned military assets has revived memories of the June 2025 Israel-Iran conflict. In that episode, Trump reportedly set a 60-day window for diplomacy; hostilities began on day 61. Iranian officials have not publicly drawn comparisons, but in media commentary, the precedent is clearly on their minds.

On Thursday, Iran's ambassador to the United Nations, Amir Saeid Iravani, wrote to the Security Council, warning of what he described as a "real risk of military aggression."

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