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How will uncertainty and government policies impact Iran’s economic outlook in 2024?

TO GO WITH AFP STORY BY SALAM FARAJ An Iraqi money dealer counts Iranian rial banknotes bearing a portrait of the late founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, at an exchange office in Baghdad on February 3, 2012. Tens of thousands of Iranian visitors have been finding difficulty in using the Iranian currency in Iraq due to a depreciation of the rial against the dollar. AFP PHOTO/ ALI AL-SAADI (Photo credit should read ALI AL-SAADI/AFP/GettyImages)
To:

Al-Monitor Readers

From:

Dr. Bijan Khajehpour

Managing Partner, Eurasian Nexus Partners, Vienna, Austria

Date:

Dec. 18, 2023

Bottom Line:

The Iranian economy has been in a state of stagflation since 2018; however, mediocre growth has returned to the economy. Continuing to grapple with US sanctions as well as poor governance, corruption and mismanagement, the government is unable to send the needed signals to the business community to improve economic conditions. As such, we should not expect a major shift in 2024.