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As Iran stalls, US military strikes risk uncertain outcomes

If Iran’s leaders refuse to negotiate over the Trump administration’s demands, the president may have to choose between strike options that can likely only further degrade its nuclear program — not fully destroy it.

In this handout photo provided by the US Navy, Logistics Specialist 1st Class Ousseinou Kaba (left), from Silver Spring, Md., and Logistics Specialist Seaman Abigail Marshke, from Flint, Mich., attach cargo to an MH-60S Sea Hawk helicopter from the "Nightdippers" of Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron (HSC) 5 from the flight deck of the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) May 10, 2019 in the Red Sea.
An MH-60S Sea Hawk helicopter from the of Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron 5 is having cargo attached from the flight deck of the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln May 10, 2019, in the Red Sea. — Mass Communication Specialist Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Amber Smalley/US Navy via Getty Images

WASHINGTON — As US Navy warships and squadrons of combat aircraft assemble across the Middle East amid President Donald Trump’s demands that Iran relinquish its nuclear program, analysts say Washington likely has few easy military options that would achieve that objective should talks fail.

Iranian officials have publicly rejected Washington’s initial conditions for negotiations, raising the stakes as the White House weighs potential strike options that have been presented by the Pentagon.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Wednesday said the US military is “prepared to deliver whatever this president expects of the War Department.”

But compared with recent US interventions in Venezuela and Yemen, many of the White House's options for Iran are fraught with greater risk, with some raising the possibility of a prolonged and potentially messy confrontation that could have serious consequences for the region, current and former officials familiar with the military’s planning told Al-Monitor.

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