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Analysis

Turkey's big Syria play: Rebuild, but only if Gulf can pay for it

As sanctions on Syria ease, Turkey is hoping to turn economic engagement into regional influence and encourage refugee returns.

Aerial view of the amount of destruction left in the Maarat al-Numan neighborhood after the end of the Syrian civil war in Idlib, Syria, on March 13, 2025. Located between the three major cities of Aleppo, Hama, and Damascus, the city of Idlib is a historically and strategically important city that went through years of destruction in the course of the Syrian civil war. (Photo by Omar Albaw / Middle East Images / Middle East Images via AFP) (Photo by OMAR ALBAW/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images)
Aerial view of the amount of destruction left in the Maarat al-Numan neighborhood after the end of the Syrian civil war in Idlib, Syria, on March 13, 2025. — OMAR ALBAW/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images

As Western powers begin to lift sanctions on Syria, Turkey is positioning itself as a key player in the country’s reconstruction, betting that economic revival next door will ease domestic pressures and bolster regional influence.

With years of experience managing reconstruction in Syrian regions under its military control, Ankara is now seeking to scale up its efforts across the country. Turkish officials and business leaders are mobilizing plans to direct investment and trade into war-torn sectors like energy, water, housing and infrastructure. But Turkey lacks the financial muscle to go it alone, making international partnerships, particularly with Gulf states and potentially Europe, critical to Ankara’s ambitions. 

Following President Donald Trump's announcement to lift sanctions on Syria and his meeting with Sharaa in Saudi Arabia on May 14, Tom Barrack — who wears the dual hats of US ambassador to Turkey and special envoy for Syria — announced on Thursday a $7 billion energy deal in Damascus involving the United States, Turkey and Qatar.

Reconstruction blueprint

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