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Analysis

Iran set to bury Khamenei, but his hard-line legacy may endure

The elaborate funeral for the late supreme leader is becoming more than a farewell; it serves as a carefully staged test of regime continuity after his decades-long rule.

Iranians walk past a billboard bearing a picture of Iran's slain supreme leader Ali Khamenei ahead of his funeral in Tehran on July 3, 2026. Iranian leaders began paying their respects on July 3 before the coffin of the country's late supreme leader Ali Khamenei, killed in the US-Israeli strikes that triggered the Middle East war, as Tehran prepared for a vast funeral. Khamenei's body arrived at Tehran's Grand Mosalla on July 3 ahead of ceremonies which are expected to draw millions. (Photo by AFP via Getty
Iranians walk past a billboard bearing a picture of Iran's slain supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, ahead of his funeral in Tehran on July 3, 2026. — AFP via Getty Images

The Islamic Republic has begun six days of funeral ceremonies for Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, more than four months after he was killed in a US-Israeli strike.

Stretching from Tehran and Qom to the Shiite holy cities of Najaf and Karbala in neighboring Iraq before concluding in Mashhad, the ceremonies are expected to become one of the largest state-organized events in the Islamic Republic's history. Authorities anticipate up to 20 million participants, have deployed more than 150,000 police officers, closed parts of the country's airspace and declared public holidays to facilitate attendance.

Yet beyond the immense logistical operation lies a far more consequential objective. For Tehran, Khamenei's funeral is not simply a religious ceremony but a choreographed political transition intended to demonstrate that the Islamic Republic remains unified, resilient and fully in control after losing the man who dominated its political system for more than three decades.

The ceremonies will also provide the first major opportunity for Iran's new leadership to project authority at home and abroad following the succession of Khamenei's son, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, at a time when the country is emerging from its most dangerous military confrontation since the Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s.

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