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Trump faces three paths ahead in Iran war as Hormuz standoff intensifies

As the Hormuz standoff threatens a global economic chill, Trump must choose between military escalation, seeking a partial deal with Iran, or waiting out the pressure campaign.

This photo obtained by AFP from the Iranian news agency Tasnim shows an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) boat allegedly taking part in an operation to seize ships attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz, on April 21, 2026.
This photo obtained by AFP from the Iranian news agency Tasnim shows an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) boat allegedly taking part in an operation to seize ships attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz, on April 21, 2026. — Meysam MIRZADEH / TASNIM NEWS / AFP via Getty Images

This is an excerpt from AL-MONITOR Security, a weekly newsletter covering defense and conflict developments in the Middle East. To get AL-MONITOR Security in your inbox, sign up here.

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump publicly dismissed further attempts at negotiation with Iran on Sunday, citing “tremendous infighting and confusion” within the Islamic Republic’s leadership for why his administration would no longer be sending envoys to Islamabad.

Instead, the White House is doubling down on the US Navy’s blockade of Iran while weighing further military strikes in hopes of moving the needle towards concessions from Tehran.

The US blockade “is 100% foolproof,” Trump told reporters on Wednesday. “I mean militarily, we've wiped them out. They have no military left,” he said. 

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