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Analysis

Pakistan emerges as mediator but faces limitations in Iran-Trump standoff

Pakistan has emerged as a potential neutral venue for US-Iran talks, leveraging its ties to both sides, but analysts warn that early back-channel diplomacy faces major hurdles amid ongoing military escalation.

Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif (C) speaks as US President Donald Trump (L) and Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer (R) watch during the Sharm El-Sheikh Peace Summit on Oct. 13, 2025 in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt.
Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif (C) speaks as US President Donald Trump (L) and Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer (R) watch during the Sharm El-Sheikh Peace Summit on Oct. 13, 2025 in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt. — Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

As the US-Israel-Iran war enters its fourth week, Pakistan has suddenly emerged as a potential neutral hub for mediation, raising questions about its strategic calculations and the prospects for diplomacy. With traditional Middle Eastern intermediaries under direct Iranian attacks, Islamabad’s ties to both Tehran and Washington — despite not maintaining formal relations with Israel — position it as a plausible venue for dialogue.

Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said Tuesday in a post on X that his country was “ready and honored” to host “meaningful and conclusive talks for a comprehensive settlement” to the war. The post was quickly reshared by President Donald Trump.

The announcement came after Trump declared on Monday a five-day pause on strikes targeting Iranian energy infrastructure, saying that the US had been in talks with a “top person” in Iran over the weekend about ending the conflict. A Turkish source confirmed to Al-Monitor that the US has proposed holding talks between Vice President JD Vance and Iran’s parliament speaker, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf. Pakistani officials have largely kept details under wraps, but media leaks have thrust Islamabad into the spotlight at a delicate moment, where any controversy could complicate negotiations.

Turkey, Egypt and Pakistan have reportedly been relaying indirect messages between the US and Iran for some time, and a meeting between Iranian and American officials could be convened soon in Islamabad. Since these diplomatic contacts are still in the early stages, with no structured negotiations yet, the process remains fragile.

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