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Analysis

OECD forecasts 3.7% growth for Saudi Arabia, citing US tariff shield

The kingdom is projected to grow at 3.7% this year, 1.9 percentage points more than forecasted in June.

Pictured is the entrance to King Abdullah Economic City in Jeddah, on Feb. 3, 2009.
Pictured is the entrance to King Abdullah Economic City in Jeddah, on Feb. 3, 2009. — OMAR SALEM/AFP via Getty Images

The OECD raised Saudi Arabia’s economic growth forecast by 1.9% on Tuesday — much higher than any other country — citing strong domestic demand and the kingdom being shielded from US President Donald Trump’s tariffs that have shaken global markets.

Founded in 1961, the Paris-based OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) is an intergovernmental body of 38 member states. On Tuesday, it released its Interim Economic Outlook report detailing updated global growth projections.

OECD outlook: In June, the OECD expected Saudi growth of 1.8% in 2025; the latest forecast nearly doubles that figure to 3.7%.

Saudi Arabia’s upgrade far outpaced every other country in the report. The next-largest revisions were for Japan, Mexico and India — each raised by 0.4 percentage points — with growth now expected at 1.1%, 0.8% and 6.7% in 2025, respectively.

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