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Analysis

Will Trump's push for Gulf investment align with regional economic realities?

During his May 13-16 trip, Trump aims to unveil trillions of dollars in Gulf investment and trade commitments in the United States.

President Donald Trump shakes hands with Saudi Arabia's crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, in the Oval Office of the White House on March 20, 2018.
President Donald Trump shakes hands with Saudi Arabia's crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, in the Oval Office of the White House on March 20, 2018. — MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images

US President Donald Trump will travel to Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries next week, and the visit, set to begin on May 13 and conclude on May 16, is expected to feature high-profile announcements of Gulf financial commitments to the United States, potentially amounting to trillions of dollars.

But analysts caution that such figures may be more symbolic than substantive. With oil prices remaining relatively low, Gulf states — particularly Saudi Arabia — are navigating a period of tightened public spending and shifting priorities at home.

“The Saudis want investment in the kingdom, whereas Trump wants Saudi investment in the US. They're not necessarily aligned,” Kristian Coates Ulrichsen, a fellow for the Middle East at the Baker Institute, told Al-Monitor.

Trump’s visit comes at a time when Saudi Arabia is under pressure to deliver on its Vision 2030 agenda — Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s sweeping plan to reduce the kingdom’s dependency on oil, including by attracting major foreign direct investment. The Saudi government, while keen to sustain strong ties with Washington during Trump’s presidency, must also balance its outward economic ambitions with growing domestic constraints.

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