Members of the Israeli and Palestinian “peace camp” need not bother holding their breath until every vote is counted. Even if the Zionist Camp comes out ahead, and even if Likud alumni Moshe Kahlon joins a coalition alongside Zehava Gal-On of the Meretz Party, a photo of Zionist Camp leader Isaac Herzog and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas signing an agreement to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is far from becoming reality. It is as realistic as a photo of Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman cavorting with Palestinian Arab Knesset member Haneen Zoabi.
Past experience has shown that such a government of disparate parts, or a unity government between the Likud and the Zionist Camp, has about as much chance of dismantling the Jewish settlement in Hebron, evacuating 120,000 settlers and giving up the Arab neighborhoods of Jerusalem, as Abbas has of declaring to the Palestinian parliament that Israel has always been the state of the Jewish people and only the Jewish people. As I wrote here last month, such governments are a surefire recipe for diplomatic paralysis.
Many Israelis, if not most, will not vote for a party on March 17 that they truly believe will bring peace, eliminate Hamas, prevent additional missile attacks on Beersheba or stop the Iranian nuclear program. Polls indicate that the cost of living and personal welfare are at the top of the agenda for most Israelis.
The young couples who protested en masse in the summer of 2011 are fed up with empty promises to bring down housing costs. Thus, the 2015 elections will go down in Israel's short but government-rich history (the average life span of an Israeli government is two years — 33 governments in 66 years) as elections focused on the question: Who don’t you want in power? Subsequently, the leading campaign slogans were “Anyone but Bibi,” referring to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and “It’s us or them.”
AL-MONITOR All-Access gives you unlimited access to all our journalism, the full Daily Briefing, exclusive interviews, premium newsletters, and live events — for less than $2/week.