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Analysis

As US-Iran talks falter, Israel views war outcome as 'total strategic failure’

Israeli officials believe the US failure to attain the kind of agreement with Iran that it originally sought stems from the strategic mistakes made during and after the recent war.

Motorists drive past a billboard bearing a picture of Iran's slain supreme leader Ali Khamenei, ahead of his funeral in Tehran on July 3, 2026. Iranian leaders began paying their respects on July 3 before the coffin of the country's late supreme leader Ali Khamenei, killed in the US-Israeli strikes that triggered the Middle East war, as Tehran prepared for a vast funeral. Khamenei's body arrived at Tehran's Grand Mosalla on July 3 ahead of ceremonies which are expected to draw millions. (Photo by AFP via Ge
Motorists drive past a billboard bearing a picture of Iran's slain supreme leader Ali Khamenei, ahead of his funeral in Tehran on July 3, 2026. — AFP via Getty Images

TEL AVIV — The faltering US-Iran negotiations over Tehran opening the Strait of Hormuz and other issues reflect what Israeli security experts describe as strategic mistakes by both Israel and the United States during and after their war against Iran. With the immediate diplomatic focus now shifted from Iran's nuclear program to freedom of navigation through Hormuz, many Israeli officials assess that Israel has emerged from the war in a weaker strategic position than it held before the attack on Iran.

Overplaying the nuclear threat

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed on Wednesday that Iran had manufactured nuclear weapons, citing that assertion as justification for the war against the Islamic Republic. His political rivals dismissed the statement as an attempt to rewrite history and stoke public fears ahead of elections to be held no later than October 27.

Netanyahu has long argued that his policies had prevented Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, but in an interview with the right-wing Channel 14, he said Israel had twice been forced to attack Iran "to save us from the destruction of atomic bombs that they already had, and who knows which of us would still be around."

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