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Analysis

Why Turkey sees opportunity in Hormuz crisis to boost Middle Corridor

Ankara seeks to exploit transport disruptions from the Iran, Ukraine wars to push the corridor, but high costs, logistical bottlenecks and South Caucasus politics pose obstacles.

Ships navigate the Bosphorus Strait on May 02, 2026 in Istanbul, Turkey. Since the outbreak of the US-Israeli war against Iran, forcing the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and together with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, global shipping routes have been severely impacted. Soaring shipping costs, lengthening delivery times and less efficient routes have seen increased pressure on energy markets and supply chains worldwide. (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
Ships navigate the Bosphorus Strait on May 2, 2026, in Istanbul, Turkey. — Chris McGrath/Getty Images

In the transportation disruptions caused by the conflicts in Iran and Ukraine, Turkey sees an opportunity to promote the Middle Corridor — linking China and Central Asia to Europe via the Caspian Sea, South Caucasus and Turkey — but major transport, financial and political hurdles stand in the way of realizing it as an alternative trade route.

The Middle Corridor’s prospects have grown since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine disrupted northern overland trade routes through Russia and Belarus and they stand to further increase with the maritime disruptions caused by the de facto blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran and the United States.

Behind Turkey’s push

The Middle Corridor, formally the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR), is a multimodal Chinese-European project running from China through Central Asia, across the Caspian Sea, then via Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey to Europe.

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