Skip to main content
Analysis

Despite hopes of Trump's envoy, Lebanon-Israel normalization deemed unrealistic

US special envoy Steve Witkoff's recent statements on Lebanon potentially normalizing ties with Israel suggest, experts say, the Trump administration may be misreading the country's regional and domestic dynamics.

A vehicle drives past buildings destroyed in Israeli strikes during the latest war, near the border wall in the southern Lebanese village of Ramia on March 5, 2025. Lebanese official media said two people were wounded on March 5 when Israeli drones attacked a vehicle in the south, a day after a deadly raid and despite a November 27 ceasefire. (Photo by Mahmoud ZAYYAT / AFP) (Photo by MAHMOUD ZAYYAT/AFP via Getty Images)
A vehicle drives past buildings destroyed in Israeli strikes during the latest war, near the border wall in the southern Lebanese village of Ramia, on March 5, 2025. — MAHMOUD ZAYYAT/AFP via Getty Images

BEIRUT — The optimism sparked by Lebanon's recent changes following the end of the Israel-Hezbollah war last November, the election of a new president and formation of a new government, has led US Middle East envoy Steven Witkoff to suggest that Lebanon's prospects of normalizing ties with Israel are on the upswing.

The newly appointed Middle East envoy suggested that regional shifts could extend to Lebanon and Syria because of Lebanon's new leadership and the removal of Syria's pro-Iran Assad regime.

“Lebanon, by the way, could actually mobilize and come into the Abraham Peace Accords, as could potentially Syria. So, so many profound changes are happening,” he said at the American Jewish Committee event in Washington, DC, on Feb. 25.

Witkoff offered no further details, but his remarks drew skepticism, with analysts calling them unrealistic and doubting Lebanon's willingness to pursue a full peace deal with Israel anytime soon.

SUBSCRIBER EXCLUSIVE

Continue reading this exclusive analysis

Original reporting and analysis unavailable elsewhere. Subscribe to AL-MONITOR to read this story and access everything we publish