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Turkey's natural gas offers much needed energy options

The new development of gas from the Sakarya field in the Black Sea is a remarkable achievement for Turkey's national oil company.

ISTANBUL, TURKEY - OCTOBER 19: Turkey's drilling vessel Kanuni arrives for alterations at the Haydarpasa port on October 19, 2020 in Istanbul, Turkey. The vessel will undergo tower disassembly before heading to the Black Sea. Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan recently announced a further discovery of 85 billion cubic meters of natural gas in the Black Sea. (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
To:

Al-Monitor Pro Members

From:

Gerald Kepes

President, Competitive Energy Strategies, LLC

Date:

April 11, 2023

Bottom Line:

First gas from the Turkish national oil company’s (Türkiye Petrolleri Anonim Ortakligi, TPAO) ultra-deepwater Sakarya field is due onstream in the coming weeks. Located in the Turkish sector of the Black Sea, first gas and consistent first phase performance will be a remarkable achievement for Turkey’s NOC. TPAO has never before developed a deepwater hydrocarbon field, much less an ultra-deepwater one. 

Significant gas volumes will provide badly needed options vis-à-vis gas imported by pipeline from Russia, Iran and Azerbaijan, and liquified natural gas (LNG) from Qatar, the United States and others. Sakarya gas could be utilized for domestic needs — reducing gas imports — or to export gas, or both. The government envisions Turkey as a natural gas hub where multiple sources of foreign and domestic gas are traded and sold, realizing ambitions to be a geostrategically-positioned energy powerhouse. But, as important as Sakarya gas is, Turkey is a long way from achieving that vision. Much more is required.

The Turkish Black Sea natural gas play is not yet a new gas province; this is overstated. But it is significant, because it represents a major expansion of TPAO’s institutional capacity, and a successful first phase is an important step toward an enhanced national energy security scenario for Turkey. It could also provide the wherewithal to change its posture toward southern neighbors regarding the Eastern Mediterranean gas play and be a player in the resolution of Europe’s over-dependence on Russian gas.

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