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Intel: Why Turkey, Russia are not about to fall out over Idlib

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is accusing the Syrian government of seeking to “sabotage” Turkey’s relations with Russia with its assault on rebel-held Idlib.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan attend a meeting in the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia April 8, 2019. Maxim Shipenkov/Pool via REUTERS - RC118C028D80

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is accusing the Syrian government of seeking to “sabotage” Turkey’s relations with Russia with its assault on rebel-held Idlib. In a late-night phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday, Erdogan said Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s attack on the de-escalation zone guaranteed by Moscow and Ankara had reached an “alarming dimension” that cannot be justified with claims of fighting terrorism. With civilian targets, including hospitals, being hit, joint efforts to end the eight-year-long conflict are at risk.

Why it matters: Erdogan’s comments could be interpreted as a signal that the 2018 deal under which Turkey pledged to disarm and edge out Hayat Tahrir-al Sham, an al-Qaeda breakaway group, from areas around Idlib is falling apart. 

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