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Istanbul’s housing sector in turmoil

The increase in housing prices in Istanbul has fallen below both the inflation rate and the increase in construction costs, signaling serous trouble for a sector that has long been a driving force of the Turkish economy.
A construction crane is seen behind residential buildings in Istanbul, Turkey May 24, 2017. REUTERS/Murad Sezer - RC1178F41100
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Under the Justice and Development Party’s 15-year rule, housing-dominated construction became a main pillar of the Turkish economy. The building spree is in plain sight, especially in Istanbul where countless new buildings have sprung up across the city, in addition to infrastructure projects, including the so-called megaprojects in the transport realm. The city’s historical silhouette and green spaces have taken a severe blow, forcing even President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to search his soul. “We have betrayed Istanbul. I, too, am responsible for that,” he said Oct. 21, in a rare instance of self-criticism.

The funds needed for the construction drive have been met largely from foreign sources. Turkey’s external debt stock stands at $432 billion today, amounting to some 52% of the gross domestic product. No precise data exists on how much of that money went to the construction sector and related fields, but existing clues suggest that a significant portion of the funds became capital for construction companies and home loans for consumers. Like other emerging economies, Turkey enjoyed abundant flows of funds from the United States and the European Union, the result of anti-crisis liquidity expansion, which kept the dollar’s price low and encouraged borrowing. Buoyed by this climate of “dolce vita,” Turkish builders — especially those active in Istanbul — rushed to grab any building plots they could find, paying little mind to the prices.

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