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Next Gaza War a Matter Of When, Not If

Adnan Abu Amer, a political analyst based in Gaza, is pessimistic about the durability of the current cease-fire between Israel and Hamas, and points to regional factors as well as an Israeli desire to reassert its military superiority.
A Palestinian flag flutters as Palestinian boys stand atop the rubble of a house, which witness said was destroyed in an Israeli air strike during an eight-day conflict, in the northern Gaza Strip December 20, 2012. Eight days of Israeli air strikes on Gaza and cross-border Palestinian rocket attacks ended in an Egyptian-brokered truce agreement last month calling on Israel to ease restrictions on the territory. REUTERS/Mohammed Salem (GAZA - Tags: CONFLICT TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY)

The recent Israeli war on Gaza ended with an urgent cease-fire between Israel and Hamas, after the two sides failed to completely achieve their objectives.

Israel carried out this military operation to restore its deterrence, which was dealt a severe blow by Hamas’ possession of Qassam and Grad missiles. The Palestinians’ initial targets, no more than 40km away from the Gaza Strip, put half a million Israelis at risk. By the end of the war, Hamas was able to reach 80km inside Israel, placing millions more in danger.

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