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Can Egypt's Brotherhood restore ties with Cairo?

Don’t expect the Egyptian regime to forgive or forget the serious crimes of Muslim Brotherhood leaders, but there may be some hope for youthful offenders.

Muslim Brotherhood's leader Mohamed Badie shouts solgans against the Interior Ministery behind bars during the trial of 738 brotherhood members for their armed sit-in at Rabaa square, at a court on the outskirts of Cairo, Egypt May 31, 2016. - RTX2F137
Muslim Brotherhood leader Mohamed Badie shouts slogans against the Interior Ministry from behind bars during the trial of 738 Brotherhood members for their armed sit-in at Rabia al-Adawiya Square, at a court on the outskirts of Cairo, May 31, 2016. On Oct. 26, an appeals court upheld a 25-year prison sentence for Badie for blocking an agricultural road. — REUTERS

Dealing with facts is the only way to make logical predictions, and the facts do not favor a reconciliation between the Egyptian regime and the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood.

Since the ouster of Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi in 2013, the facts have never pointed toward a potential compromise between the Brotherhood and the governments since then: the transitional regime that was led by President Adly Mansour, the head of the Supreme Constitutional Court, or the current regime headed by President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, elected in 2014.

In fact, all the evidence points to the contrary. A get-together hardly seems to be on the political horizon when one considers all the reports compiled against Brotherhood leaders; their persecution; the “dispersal” at Rabia al-Adawiya Square in August 2013 — sometimes called Egypt’s Tiananmen Square; the continuing crackdown on the Brotherhood’s funds and companies; and the sentences issued against members. 

The government’s Oct. 4 slaying of Brotherhood official Mohamed Kamal forced observers and analysts to seek real answers to citizens’ questions about how serious reconciliation attempts are.

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