Skip to main content

Poll predicts big turnout for Iran elections

A new poll suggests that voter turnout will be high in today's elections in Iran despite the disqualification of most Reformist candidates.

RTR2YQCZ.jpg
A man casts his vote during the parliamentary elections at a mosque in central Tehran, March 2, 2012. — REUTERS/Morteza Nikoubazl

Despite limited candidate choices, 70-80% of Iranians are likely to participate in the Feb. 26 elections, according to a new poll.

The survey, by Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC, an independent research service based outside Washington, and shared with Al-Monitor in advance of publication, suggests a favorable outcome for centrists backing the administration of President Hassan Rouhani.

The survey was taken Feb. 12-20 among 1,184 Iranians ages 18 and above, selected randomly, and has a margin of error of around 3%.

Polling is an inexact science in any country, particularly Iran, but the latest results are similar to other recent surveys in showing an Iranian preference for relative moderates in the restricted political context of the Islamic Republic, where a Shiite Muslim cleric — Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei — has the final say on all key decisions.

SUBSCRIBER EXCLUSIVE

Continue reading this exclusive analysis

Original reporting and analysis unavailable elsewhere. Subscribe to AL-MONITOR to read this story and access everything we publish