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Turkey’s Missed Opportunities

Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan might wish to retract some of his foreign policy decisions.

People stand facing Ataturk Cultural Center during a protest at Taksim Square in Istanbul June 18, 2013. Performance artist Erdem Gunduz became the new symbol of anti-government protests in Turkey on Tuesday after his eight-hour vigil in Taksim Square earned him the nickname "the Standing Man". Gunduz said he was protesting in solidarity with demonstrators who were evicted at the weekend from Gezi Park adjoining Taksim, an intervention by police that triggered some of the most violent clashes to date. What
People stand facing the Ataturk Cultural Center during a protest at Taksim Square in Istanbul, June 18, 2013. — REUTERS/Marko Djurica

Earlier this month, two Al-Monitor contributors wondered how Turkey turned from the healthy man into the lonely man of Europe and the Middle East so quickly.

The answer lies in a favorite device of history buffs: counterfactuals. What if Alexander the Great had lived longer and expanded his domains further? What if the Chinese and not the Europeans had “discovered” the Americas? Exploring alternative directions in history equips us with a deeper understanding of the past and present.

Thus, our question: What if the government of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan had acted differently at critical turning points in the past few years?

An investigation like this is apt to start with the Kurdish question — still Turkey’s most important obstacle in becoming a democratic country. For the past thirty years, the conflict between the militant Kurdish group the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) and Turkish security forces has claimed nearly 40,000 lives. The fighting has retarded the social, economic and political development of Turkey. What if Turkey had resolved the Kurdish question by now?

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