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Rafsanjani Candidacy A Likely Winner

Former president Hashemi Rafsanjani appears to have the inside track in Iran’s presidential elections.
EDITORS' NOTE: Reuters and other foreign media are subject to Iranian restrictions on leaving the office to report, film or take pictures in Tehran.

Former Iranian president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani gives the opening speech during Iran's Assembly of Experts' biannual meeting in Tehran March 8, 2011. Rafsanjani lost his position on Tuesday as head of an important state clerical body after hardliners criticised him for being too close to the reformist opposition. REUTERS/Raheb Homavandi (IRAN - Tags: POLITIC
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In the last minutes of the nominations for the presidency, Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani officially threw his hat in the ring while his supporters had gathered anxiously around the Ministry of Interior building. Rafsanjani had recently announced that he would not participate in the elections without Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei’s agreement.

Although Rafsanjani had previously indicated that he is not committed to an unquestioning commitment to Khamenei, this time, this possibility is unlikely, because Rafsanjani has full awareness of his own lack of a power base and his retreat before his former political ally Khamenei. Also, considering that his publicly ignoring the leader of Iran’s wishes seems insignificant to him, it is likely that raising the issue of Khamenei’s agreement with this decision was merely a crafty pretense which was intended to neutralize his rival and prevent him from taking advantage of legal and illegal levers to oppose Rafsanjani. In any case, Rafsanjani’s decision will no doubt have an impact on the course of events in the Iranian elections; but what role will Rafsanjani play in the twists and turns of Iranian power?

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