On July 30, the Knesset will recess for the long summer break and will only reconvene three months later after the Jewish High Holidays. This means that despite the cumulative effect of the severe corruption scandals closing in on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu — in some of which he is a suspect and others involving close confidants — the collapse of the government is not imminent, nor is a decision by Netanyahu to call early elections.
Three months are a lifetime in Israeli politics. They could clarify whether there’s any truth to Netanyahu’s denials of wrongdoing and claims that all the scandals are nothing but persecution by the leftist media designed to bring down his right-wing government. The three-month hiatus will also indicate whether the newly elected chairman of the opposition Labor Party, Avi Gabbay, will keep climbing in the polls at the expense of the centrist Yesh Atid headed by Yair Lapid, and whether the diehard Likud supporters still have faith in Netanyahu.
Therefore, before embarking on any political analysis of the past week — one of the toughest Netanyahu has known in recent years — a deep breath might be in order to put things in perspective, despite the sense that these events are bringing the Netanyahu rule to its end more than ever before.
Netanyahu himself understands this well. The phoenix of Israeli politics has been knocked down quite a few times, always picking himself up when all seemed lost. At the beginning of this year, several corruption scandals came to light in which he was allegedly directly involved. Police questioned Netanyahu under caution in two of them: allegations of illegally taking gifts from wealthy businessmen (an affair dubbed “case 1000”) and allegations that he illegally conspired with an Israeli media mogul (Yedioth Ahronoth publisher Arnon Mozes) to obtain positive press coverage (known as “case 2000”). So far, he has managed to evade significant public damage.
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