Despite the mutual threats and demonization, Meir Javedanfar writes that even so-called hard-line Israeli politicians, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, would consider opportunities to open a channel with Iran.
Some Iranian conservatives seem to view the latest round of talks with the P5+1 as a win, writes Meir Javedanfar, who predicts that the supreme leader and his supporters will claim that the world has acknowledged Iran's strength.
It's highly likely that Iran's supreme leader will have to declare a new set of compromises at the nuclear talks, partly due to Khamenei's failure to make his nuclear policies a nationalist issue, writes Meir Javedanfar. Fortunately, the same challenges that may force a nuclear compromise are also likely to deter a mad dash for the bomb.
The upcoming Non-Aligned Movement conference in Tehran is an opportunity for Iran to score diplomatic, economic and domestic political points, writes Meir Javedanfar. Future political careers could benefit as well, namely those of Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi and Tehran Mayor Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf.
President Ahmadinejad’s decision to attend a summit in Mecca instead of visiting Iran's earthquake-striken region has opened him up to new charges of insensitivity and arrogance, writes Meir Javedanfar. He suggests that Iran's Supreme Leader let the president go to Saudi Arabia to further weaken support for Ahmadinejad’s administration.
At a ceremony marking the International Day against Drug Abuse in Tehran this week, Iranian vice president Mohammad Reza Rahimi delivered an unprecedented, public anti-Semitic tirade, writes Meir Javedanfar. The comments broke with the Islamic Republic's usual practice, which demonizes Zionists while purporting to respect the Jewish religion.
Iran's semi-official news agency has quoted Mohamed Morsi as saying he will welcome improved relations with "all Islamic countries in the world including Iran," writes Meir Javedanfar. But Iran's Shiite government shouldn't be so quick to declare camaraderie with the new Sunni leader, who has blatanly distanced himself from Iran in the past.
While all eyes were on the nuclear talks with Iran last week, Iran was actually looking at new possibilities in Afghanistan and Pakistan as US withdrawal from the region draws near, writes Meir Javedanfar. The dynamics of Iran's relations with its rival Pakistan have changed since the US invasion, much to Iran's favor.
Iranian-Israeli Middle East analyst Meir Javedanfar writes that Netanyahu's Iran policy is increasingly unpopular in Israel. As experts state that Iran poses no existential danger and that a pre-emptive Israeli strike this year would be “reckless and irresponsible,” Netanyahu’s rivals claim that he is using Iran to divert attention from domestic issues.
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